领峰环球金银评论：CPI爆冷利多 黄金刷破4350关口

Fundamental Analysis - The U.S. consumer price index (CPI) rose by 2.7% year-on-year in November, lower than the expected 3.1%, indicating ongoing affordability challenges for households due to rising prices of essential goods and services like beef and electricity [1] - The report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) noted that the CPI increase slowed, partly due to a 43-day federal government shutdown that delayed data collection until late November, coinciding with holiday season discounts from retailers [1] - White House officials welcomed the report, with economic advisor Hassett stating that the U.S. economy is showing high growth and declining inflation, while Chicago Fed President Goolsbee highlighted positive aspects of the latest CPI data, suggesting it could pave the way for further rate cuts next year if the trend continues [1] - Economists cautioned against over-interpreting the report, while additional data showed a decrease of 13,000 in initial jobless claims for the week ending December 13, adjusted to 224,000, indicating stable labor market conditions in December [1] - Gold prices fell as the market absorbed the lower-than-expected U.S. inflation data, reducing gold's appeal as an inflation hedge, although rising unemployment rates provided some support, with spot gold down 0.2% to around $4,331.89 per ounce [1] Technical Analysis - The current gold price (XAUUSD) is viewed as having initiated a new upward wave from the support level of 4,170, with expectations for a fifth wave upward following a corrective phase [4] - The overall trend indicates that gold has completed a prolonged period of consolidation and has confirmed a breakout, showing a stepwise upward movement [4] - The MACD indicator suggests a decrease in trading volume, and the recommendation is to focus on long positions during dips [4] Trading Strategy - For gold, a long position is suggested around 4,308.0, with a stop loss at 4,288.0 and a target range of 4,328.0 to 4,348.0 [5] - For silver (XAGUSD), a new upward movement has started from the support level of 56.40, currently in a corrective phase, with expectations for a follow-up upward movement [7] - The MACD indicator shows that bullish momentum is significantly stronger than bearish momentum, and the recommendation is to focus on long positions during dips for silver as well [7]