欧洲没垮反被激活？俄乌和谈僵局背后，谁是真正棋手？

Group 1 - The ongoing geopolitical crisis, particularly the Russia-Ukraine conflict, is prompting Europe to reassess its strategic autonomy and independence, rather than leading to its downfall [1] - Major European countries like Germany and France are leveraging the crisis to reshape their geopolitical stance and reduce reliance on traditional international models [1] - The fear of war in European society is diminishing, showcasing a historical resilience rooted in past experiences, including two world wars [1] Group 2 - The current stalemate in negotiations indicates that both parties are now addressing critical issues related to interests and territorial disputes, suggesting a deeper engagement in the negotiation process [3] - The fundamental contradictions between Ukraine's Westernization and Russia's security concerns remain unresolved, indicating that any ceasefire may only be temporary without a political solution [3] - Ukraine's position in negotiations is precarious, often treated as an object rather than a subject, highlighting the complexities of choosing between war and peace [5] Group 3 - As European natural gas prices stabilize and alternative energy infrastructure develops, Europe is adapting to a new energy landscape without reliance on Russian supplies [5] - The shift from military stalemate to diplomatic negotiations suggests that major powers are increasingly engaging in behind-the-scenes discussions, indicating a potential opening for diplomatic solutions [5] - Achieving lasting peace requires addressing the root causes of conflict, as the war has fundamentally altered national relationships and regional dynamics [5]