白银狂飙！单月十次风险提示，这只基金仍大幅溢价36%

Core Viewpoint - The surge in silver prices has led to a high premium for the Guotou Ruijin Silver Futures Securities Investment Fund (LOF), with a premium of 36%, prompting the fund to issue multiple risk warnings and temporarily suspend large subscriptions to protect investors [1][3][4]. Group 1: Fund Performance and Market Reaction - The Guotou Ruijin Silver LOF experienced significant price volatility, with a closing price of 2.332 yuan on December 18, 2025, compared to a net asset value of 1.7164 yuan, indicating a substantial premium [3]. - The fund has issued ten premium risk warning announcements in December and has taken measures such as temporary suspensions to mitigate speculative trading [1][3]. - The fund's price dropped over 7% on December 19 but later narrowed to around 5% [1]. Group 2: Investment Risks and Market Dynamics - The high premium is attributed to "liquidity mismatch" and "overheated sentiment," as the fund tracks domestic silver futures while the secondary market reflects real-time emotions [5]. - Ordinary investors face potential "price reversion" risks due to the high premium, which could lead to significant losses if market sentiment shifts [4][5]. - The fund has limited daily subscription amounts to 500 yuan to prevent excessive speculation [4]. Group 3: Silver Market Outlook - The silver market has seen a remarkable increase, with spot silver prices rising nearly 130% this year, particularly accelerating in the second half [6][7]. - Factors such as declining global inventories, anticipated strong industrial demand, and inclusion of silver in critical mineral lists in the U.S. are supporting silver prices [6][8]. - Predictions indicate a structural supply deficit of approximately 9.5 million ounces in the global silver market by 2025, driven by stable demand from the photovoltaic industry [7][8].