Yuanjie Semiconductor Technology (SH:688498) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-12-19 09:30Core Viewpoint - The capital market is experiencing a surge in interest in the optical communication industry, driven by the demand for AI computing power and the emergence of companies like Source Technology planning to list in Hong Kong, despite facing significant operational challenges and financial instability [1][11]. Company Overview - Source Technology specializes in the research, design, production, and sales of optical chips, including products for telecommunications, data centers, and automotive laser radar markets [2]. - The company reported a revenue of 383 million, a year-on-year increase of 115.09%, and a net profit of 106 million, marking a turnaround from previous losses [3]. Financial Performance - Despite the revenue growth, Source Technology has experienced significant volatility in its financial performance, with high sales and management expense ratios around 20%, which is considerably above industry peers [3][5]. - The company has struggled with cash flow, maintaining a collection ratio between 60% and 90% since 2021, leading to a situation where operating cash flow is significantly lower than capital expenditures [5]. IPO and Fund Utilization - Source Technology's IPO in December 2022 raised 1.5 billion for various projects, but all three fundraising projects have faced delays, with only 44.85% and 28.22% of the planned investments made in the 50G optical chip industrialization and R&D center projects, respectively [8][10]. - The company is in a critical phase of capacity expansion and technological development, necessitating continuous funding to support rapid technological iterations in the optical chip sector [7]. Market Context - The CPO market is projected to reach $8.1 billion by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate of 137%, indicating a significant growth opportunity within the optical communication industry [11]. - The ongoing capital operations in the optical communication sector raise questions about whether they represent a necessary step to secure technological leadership or if they are indicative of potential overcapacity and irrational market positioning [11].