数览今年大宗商品市场“稳+升” 我国经济结构朝着更健康、更可持续方向优化

Core Viewpoint - The report indicates that the overall operation of the bulk commodity market in China is stable, with significant characteristics of new and old kinetic energy conversion [1] Group 1: Price Index Forecast - The average price index for bulk commodities in China is expected to be 112.1 points in 2025, a decrease of 0.1% compared to the previous year [2] - Among the 50 bulk commodities monitored, 10 are expected to see price increases, with neodymium oxide, refined tin, and corrugated paper projected to rise by 43.4%, 20.6%, and 18.5% respectively [2] Group 2: Industry Analysis - The non-ferrous metal industry is expected to see a 4.2% increase compared to 2024, driven by the rapid growth of high-tech manufacturing and high-end equipment manufacturing in sectors such as new energy, photovoltaics, and wind power [3] - The average price index for agricultural products is projected to be 96.7 points, reflecting a 0.4% decrease from the previous year, with stable supply and demand for key agricultural products [3] Group 3: Economic Outlook - Experts suggest that the overall trend of the bulk commodity index will show a pattern of low at the beginning and high at the end, indicating a stabilization and recovery, which reflects a healthier and more sustainable optimization of China's economic structure [4] - The strong resilience and significant domestic demand potential of the Chinese economy are expected to remain the solid foundation for the bulk commodity market in 2026 [4]