Group 1 - The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for November increased by 2.7% year-on-year, which is lower than the market expectation of 3.1% [1] - The core CPI rose by 2.6%, marking the lowest level since early 2021 [1] - The reliability of the CPI data is questioned due to the federal government shutdown, which hindered the collection of most price data for October [1] Group 2 - Following the CPI report, the probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates in January increased slightly, with a 28.8% chance of a 25 basis point cut [1] - There are differing opinions within the Federal Reserve regarding the policy path, with some officials suggesting significant room for rate cuts while others advocate for maintaining rates until the end of 2026 [1] - President Trump is interviewing "three to four" candidates for the next Federal Reserve Chair and aims to make a decision soon, expressing a desire for a more aggressive approach to rate cuts [2]
美国11月CPI低于预期，美联储降息概率上升！特朗普面试新主席人选？
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-12-19 10:06