曾金策12月20日:下周黄金还会涨吗?黄金最新行情分析操作
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-12-19 16:03

Market Overview - The Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and balance sheet expansion provide liquidity support, while lower-than-expected U.S. CPI data raises expectations for further rate cuts. Additionally, the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict increases demand for safe-haven assets, supporting high gold prices [1] - Several investment banks are bullish on gold prices, projecting them to reach $5,000 per ounce by 2026, although short-term caution is advised due to potential overbought corrections and liquidity sell-offs triggered by stock market volatility [1] Technical Analysis - Daily Level: The international gold price shows a bullish arrangement on the daily chart, stabilizing above the $4,300 mark, with strong support from the 5/10/20-day moving averages. The RSI is neutral to strong, and the MACD shows a bullish crossover above the zero line, indicating ongoing bullish momentum but caution is needed for potential overbought corrections [1] - 4-Hour Level: The 4-hour chart indicates a high-level consolidation for gold, with moving averages in a bullish arrangement and the Bollinger Bands narrowing. The MACD is showing a bearish crossover above the zero line, and the RSI is retreating from overbought levels, signaling a need to be cautious of potential price corrections [1] - 1-Hour Level: The 1-hour chart reflects a bullish upward trend for gold, with expanding Bollinger Bands. The MACD shows a bullish crossover with increasing volume, and the RSI is neutral to strong, indicating enhanced upward momentum, but there is a clear need to be aware of potential high-level price corrections [1] Future Trading Strategy - For bullish positions: Aggressive traders can enter long positions near the support level of $4,150 per ounce, while more conservative traders should wait for stabilization around $4,000 per ounce before entering long positions in the $4,025-$4,035 range [3] - For bearish positions: Aggressive traders can consider short positions near the resistance level of $4,350 per ounce, while conservative traders should look to enter short positions around $4,400 per ounce in the $4,385-$4,375 range [3]