Hello (US:MOMO) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-12-19 20:16Core Viewpoint - The financial report of Zhiyuan Group (NASDAQ: MOMO), the parent company of Momo, reveals a decline in revenue and net profit for the first nine months of 2025, indicating challenges in domestic operations and user engagement [3][5][9]. Financial Performance - For the first nine months of 2025, Zhiyuan Group reported revenue of 7.791 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.7% from 7.926 billion yuan in the same period last year [3]. - The net profit for the same period was 567 million yuan, down 33.5% from 852 million yuan year-on-year [5]. - In Q3 2025, revenue was 2.65 billion yuan, a slight decline of 0.9% from 2.675 billion yuan in Q3 2024, with net profit falling by 22.27% to 349 million yuan [5][6]. Revenue Breakdown - Domestic business revenue decreased by 11% to 2.115 billion yuan, primarily due to new tax regulations affecting revenue sharing with mid-tier streamers and a decline in user payment capacity [4][6]. - The number of paying users on Momo dropped from 7.2 million to 3.7 million, while Tantan's paying users fell from 1 million to 700,000, reflecting a 30% decline in paying user numbers [4][7]. Cost and Profitability - The gross margin for the company was adjusted from 37.2% to 37.4% for 2025, with expectations of further decline to 35.5% in 2026 due to increased low-margin overseas business and changes in domestic revenue-sharing policies [5][8]. - Total costs and expenses for Q3 2025 were 2.3094 billion yuan, an increase of 1.0% from 2.2862 billion yuan in Q3 2024, driven by higher commission fees and intangible asset amortization from acquisitions [8][9]. Market Challenges - The company faces three major challenges: aging user demographics, intensified domestic market competition, and regulatory pressures [6][7]. - The competitive landscape in the domestic social networking sector has intensified, with new platforms like Soul and Yidui gaining market share through innovative features [6][10]. Future Outlook - The overseas business has become a key growth driver, with Q3 2025 overseas revenue reaching 535 million yuan, a 69% increase year-on-year, now accounting for 20% of total revenue [8][9]. - The company is cautiously optimistic about future growth, contingent on successful overseas expansion and effective cost management [9][10]. - The sustainability of growth will depend on the ability to replicate successful overseas products and innovate core domestic offerings to attract younger users [10].