荷兰央行预计该国经济今年增长1.7%

Core Viewpoint - The Dutch Central Bank's autumn forecast for 2025 indicates that the country's economic growth rate will reach 1.7% this year, significantly exceeding expectations, driven primarily by international trade and government spending [1] Economic Growth Drivers - International trade and government expenditure are identified as the main drivers of economic growth in the Netherlands [1] - Dutch companies have adapted to tariff barriers by adjusting trade contracts, yielding positive results despite global trade suppression due to U.S. tax increases [1] - Government spending has increased beyond expectations, further contributing to economic growth [1] Fiscal Outlook - The Dutch Ministry of Finance projects a fiscal deficit of €25 billion (approximately 2.1% of GDP) for 2025 [1] - Economic growth is expected to slow down in 2026 and 2027, with growth rates of 1.2% and 1.1% respectively [1] Consumer and Investment Trends - Household consumption is anticipated to continue supporting economic growth [1] - Although government spending is expected to maintain an upward trend, current fiscal policies are overly expansionary, limiting the capacity to respond to uncertain shocks [1] - Corporate investment is noted to be insufficient in contributing to economic growth, facing multiple constraints such as power shortages, high energy and labor costs, and unstable government policies [1]