【UNforex下周展望】重磅事件落幕后 市场进入再定价与节奏博弈阶段

Group 1 - Global markets are transitioning from a high-volatility phase driven by macro events to a focus on recalibrating existing expectations and price deviations [1][2] - The upcoming week lacks new significant data, shifting market attention to the impacts of already released information, such as interest rate paths and inflation risks [1][2] - Market behavior is expected to be characterized by oscillation around established ranges rather than forming a clear directional trend [1][3] Group 2 - The absence of new interest rate decisions does not diminish the importance of Federal Reserve-related factors, with market focus shifting to interpreting policy attitudes [2] - Japanese central bank policy adjustments continue to influence market dynamics, particularly regarding yen volatility and its effects on global risk sentiment [2][3] - As the year-end approaches, liquidity factors are becoming more significant, leading to increased caution among institutions and a potential decrease in new capital inflows [2][3] Group 3 - The market is likely to experience differentiated performance, with risk assets fluctuating between emotional recovery and year-end caution, while safe-haven assets may consolidate at high levels [3] - Currency markets may enter a phase of range trading, with price movements driven more by capital flows and position adjustments than by macroeconomic changes [3] - The upcoming week presents trading opportunities that require higher execution and adaptability, emphasizing the importance of position control and rhythm management over betting on a single macro direction [3]