Core Viewpoint - Hainan's announcement of full island closure operation on December 18, 2025, represents a strategic move by China to counter global containment efforts, emphasizing openness rather than isolation [1][8][22] Group 1: Policy and Economic Implications - The concept of "closure" in Hainan does not imply isolation but rather a model of "open first, control second," allowing international access while regulating domestic channels [3][6] - Hainan will operate as a special zone with zero tariffs and simplified approvals for international goods, effectively becoming a "domestic outside" area in terms of trade rules [3][6] - The unique policy of "30% value-added processing for domestic sales exempt from tariffs" provides a significant competitive advantage for businesses, allowing them to import raw materials duty-free and sell processed goods to the mainland without tariffs [11][13] Group 2: Strategic Positioning - Hainan is not intended to replace Hong Kong or Singapore; instead, it aims to leverage its vast land and natural resources to focus on sectors like agriculture, deep-sea exploration, aerospace, and high-end manufacturing [15][17] - The region is positioned as a "testbed" for advanced medical devices and data flow, facilitating early access for domestic patients and exploring cross-border digital economy cooperation [19][21] Group 3: Global Context and Future Outlook - Hainan's closure is seen as a significant step comparable to China's WTO accession in 2001, marking a shift from product-level to institutional-level openness, allowing China to participate in international rule-making [22] - The initiative aims to attract global capital, talent, and technology to Hainan, countering efforts to isolate China and reinforcing the country's commitment to globalization [21][22]
封关不是关门,中国甩出王炸,全球格局要变天
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-12-20 11:10