曹德旺预言要成真？如果不出意外，2026年房价或将迎来5大转变

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the anticipated changes in the real estate market by 2026, highlighting five major transformations that are expected to occur, despite the misinformation regarding predictions attributed to Cao Dewang [3][14]. Group 1: Market Trends - Transformation 1: Housing prices in first-tier cities are expected to shift from being resistant to declines to experiencing price corrections, as the price-to-income ratio reaches 40, indicating significant market bubbles [3][4]. - Transformation 2: The market will transition from investment-driven speculation to a focus on housing as a necessity, aligning prices more closely with local income levels [6][7]. - Transformation 3: The development approach will shift from "extensive development" to a focus on building quality homes, as policies encourage developers to prioritize quality over speed and profit [8][9]. Group 2: Price Dynamics - Transformation 4: An increase in "bargain-priced" cities is anticipated, where housing prices may drop to levels as low as several tens of thousands, driven by population outflows and limited local demand [11][12]. - Transformation 5: The introduction of 6 million affordable housing units over five years is expected to exert downward pressure on market prices, as these units will be priced lower than surrounding market-rate homes [12][14].