Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-12-20 16:24Core Viewpoint - The commercial aerospace sector is experiencing a significant surge in stock prices despite a general downturn in the A-share market, driven by strong policy support, technological advancements, and capital inflow [1][3][5]. Policy Support - The establishment of the National Commercial Aerospace Administration and the release of the "Commercial Aerospace Action Plan (2025-2027)" have integrated low-orbit satellite internet into national strategic development [3]. - The creation of special funds and proactive local government planning provide robust policy backing for the development of commercial aerospace [3]. Technological Advancements - Successful tests of reusable rockets have significantly reduced launch costs, while breakthroughs in satellite mass production technology and domestic replacements for key components like inter-satellite laser communication and onboard chips lay a solid technical foundation for the industry [5]. - The operational launch of the reusable Zhuque-3 rocket and the successful deployment of low-orbit satellites by the Long March 12 rocket signify major technological progress [11]. Capital Inflow - The news of SpaceX's planned IPO has sparked global capital interest in commercial aerospace, with leading domestic companies also racing towards IPOs, facilitated by smooth financing channels on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board [5]. - A notable influx of funds into the commercial aerospace sector is evident, with several stocks seeing net inflows exceeding 100 million yuan in a single day [1]. Stock Performance - Companies like Jiuzhiyang and Tianli Composite have seen significant stock price increases of 20% and 18% respectively, with Tianli Composite being the sole bulk supplier of titanium-stainless steel composite joints for satellite propulsion systems [1][7]. - Other companies such as Hualing Cable and Tongyu Communication have also experienced strong performance, with Hualing Cable holding a 70% market share in rocket ignition cables [7][9]. Market Dynamics - There is a clear distinction in the "value" of individual stocks within the commercial aerospace sector, with those directly related to core aerospace functions attracting more investment [7][8]. - Companies with high order visibility and clear performance paths, such as Tianli Composite and Tongyu Communication, are prioritized by investors [9]. Industry Outlook - The commercial aerospace industry is entering a phase of industrialization and scale production, with the establishment of a super manufacturing base capable of producing thousands of satellites annually [11]. - The sector is expected to see broader development opportunities by 2026, as it transitions from technology validation to large-scale implementation [11].