Core Viewpoint - A significant increase in aluminum prices is anticipated due to rising demand from data center construction and electricity costs, which will lead to inflationary pressures on various consumer goods. Industry Overview - Aluminum, once a rare and expensive metal, is now facing a resurgence in demand, particularly driven by technological advancements and infrastructure developments [2][7]. - The production of aluminum is energy-intensive, requiring approximately 14 megawatt-hours of electricity per metric ton, equivalent to powering an average American home for 18 months [3]. Market Dynamics - Analysts predict a shortfall of 16 million metric tons of aluminum within the next three years, representing about 23% of global annual demand, which will significantly impact prices [8]. - The current price of aluminum is around $1.15 per pound, a stark contrast to historical prices where it was once more expensive than gold [4][6]. Company Focus - Alcoa, a leading aluminum producer with a market cap of $12 billion, is highlighted as a key player to monitor in the aluminum market trend [10]. - Despite a substantial increase in Alcoa's stock price this year, it remains below its 2022 high, indicating potential for future growth as demand surges [10]. Investment Insights - The aluminum market is currently considered an "uncrowded trade," suggesting that early investments could yield significant returns as demand from data centers escalates [11].
This Common, Overlooked Metal will Soar in 2026