Is Sherwin-Williams Still a Buy After Its 115,000% Run?

Core Insights - Interest rates are declining, with the 30-year fixed mortgage average approaching a critical threshold of 6%, which could stimulate demand in Sherwin-Williams' Paint Stores segment [1][5] - The company is facing a challenging environment due to a sluggish housing market and flat home sales, impacting consumer spending on paint [1][2] - Despite a year-to-date decline of approximately 4% in Sherwin-Williams shares, the S&P 500 has risen by 15%, indicating underperformance [2] Financial Performance - Sherwin-Williams has a strong history of dividend increases, marking its 47th consecutive year of growth, with a recent 10.5% hike [3][10] - The company has repurchased over 53 million shares in the last decade, representing over 20% of outstanding shares, which supports earnings per share and share price [3] - In the most recent quarter, Sherwin-Williams reported year-over-year earnings and revenue growth of 3.3% and 3.2%, respectively [5][8] Historical Context - Since its IPO in 1965, Sherwin-Williams has experienced a remarkable 115,000% increase in share price, with net income rising from $1.06 million in Q2 1965 to $754.7 million in Q2 2025, equating to a 7,200% increase when adjusted for inflation [4] Market Outlook - The Federal Reserve is expected to announce further interest rate cuts, which could provide relief to Sherwin-Williams in the coming weeks [6][7] - The company has previously paused its 401(k) match during economic downturns, indicating a strategic response to challenging market conditions [9] Investment Considerations - Despite current challenges, Sherwin-Williams is viewed as a long-term hold due to its strong dividend growth and historical performance [11] - The company is on the verge of achieving Dividend King status, a milestone reached by only 55 out of approximately 53,000 publicly traded companies [10]