Envicool(SZ:002837) Ge Long Hui·2025-12-21 08:05Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has shown a fluctuating bottoming trend since December, but specific segments, particularly Invec's stock, have demonstrated remarkable independent performance, with a significant price increase of 26.9% in just 15 trading days [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance and Market Dynamics - Invec's stock has surged nearly threefold over the past six months, approaching a market capitalization of 100 billion [4]. - The ongoing and accelerating upward trend indicates that the capital market is affirming a new industrial trend [5]. - The recent price acceleration is attributed to market rumors regarding Google's factory audit and a substantial increase in the shipment target for TPU chips [8]. Group 2: Industry Catalysts and Trends - The "year-end acceleration" in stock performance is unusual, as institutions typically prefer to secure profits at year-end [7]. - Invec is no longer viewed merely as a temperature control equipment manufacturer but is now seen as a key player in the AI computing infrastructure, particularly in the liquid cooling segment [11]. - The shift towards liquid cooling technology is becoming a necessity due to the increasing power consumption of high-performance chips, with Nvidia's latest chips exceeding 1000W [13][14]. Group 3: Market Expectations and Growth Potential - The market logic suggests that liquid cooling is the next big opportunity, similar to the previous boom in optical modules [17]. - The demand for liquid cooling components is expected to grow significantly, with projections indicating that the penetration rate for AI training servers will rise from 15% in 2024 to 80% by 2027 [15]. - Invec's unique full-chain self-research and production capabilities position it favorably within the global AI computing supply chain [18]. Group 4: Competitive Landscape - Invec is the only A-share company covering the entire liquid cooling supply chain, from CDU to liquid cooling servers [21]. - Competitors include major players like 3M and domestic companies such as Shenyang Environment and Gaolan Co., which are also entering the liquid cooling market [20]. - The competitive landscape is intensifying, with various domestic firms challenging international counterparts in the liquid cooling sector [20]. Group 5: Financial Performance and Future Outlook - Invec's revenue has grown significantly since its listing, with a projected revenue of 4.5 billion in 2024, reflecting a 40.19% year-on-year increase [24]. - The company's liquid cooling revenue is still in the early stages, indicating potential for substantial growth in the future [27]. - The current high price-to-earnings ratio of nearly 180 times reflects optimistic market expectations, but it also poses risks if order fulfillment does not meet projections [28].