圣诞周黄金“破局”倒计时？震荡格局下，聚焦行情关键位！

Group 1: Market Overview - Gold exhibited a fluctuating upward trend this week, with a small bullish candle forming at the end of the week, while other days showed candles with long upper and lower shadows, indicating a consolidation phase [1] - Next week, market liquidity may tighten due to the Christmas week, with a focus on key events and data, particularly the U.S. Q3 GDP data, which will assess the rationale for potential Fed rate cuts [2] Group 2: Important Data Releases - Key data to be released includes U.S. Q3 actual GDP annualized quarter-on-quarter preliminary value, personal consumption expenditures, core PCE price index, and October durable goods orders on Tuesday [3] - The market anticipates that if the U.S. Q3 GDP shows growth exceeding 3% for two consecutive quarters, it may raise questions about the appropriateness of rate cuts during a non-recession period [3] Group 3: Technical Analysis - On a weekly level, gold shows a clear upward trend, maintaining above the MA10 support level, indicating a strong market structure [4] - On a daily level, gold's price is currently in an ascending wedge pattern, with the upper resistance line needing close attention; a breakout could lead to accelerated upward movement [6] - On a four-hour level, gold is showing a strong oscillating trend, with key resistance at the upper line of the ascending wedge; maintaining above the 4310-4300 support zone is crucial for sustaining a bullish outlook [8]