月活暴跌60%，MiniMax却要上市了

Core Insights - MiniMax has officially passed the listing hearing and plans to go public, potentially becoming the first C-end large model stock globally, marking a significant milestone in the AI industry [2][3] - The entry of MiniMax into the market signifies a competitive landscape in China's large model industry, with two distinct commercialization paths emerging: the B-end model represented by Zhizhu AI and the C-end application model pursued by MiniMax [2] Company Overview - MiniMax, founded less than four years ago, has 385 employees and serves over 200 countries with 212 million users, achieving a cumulative R&D investment of only $500 million, which is less than 1% of OpenAI's investment [3][5] - The company has demonstrated remarkable growth, with a 170% year-on-year revenue increase in the first nine months of 2025, and over 70% of its revenue coming from international markets [3][11] Business Model and Financials - MiniMax's revenue structure is diverse, with approximately two-thirds coming from C-end products, including paid subscriptions and virtual goods, while the remaining third comes from B-end services [12][17] - The company has achieved a near break-even adjusted net loss, showcasing a rare combination of high growth and narrowing losses in the large model industry [11][13] - MiniMax's C-end products, particularly the overseas social product Talkie, have shown strong performance, with significant user engagement and revenue generation [12][16] Competitive Landscape - The AI industry is witnessing a bifurcation, with MiniMax representing the C-end native application model and Zhizhu AI focusing on the B-end integration model, leading to a clear competitive dichotomy [25][26] - MiniMax's global strategy has allowed it to capture a significant market share, with over 70% of its revenue derived from international markets, contrasting with the domestic focus of many competitors [12][20] Technological Edge - MiniMax's unique organizational efficiency and modular R&D approach have enabled it to achieve high output with relatively low investment, positioning it among the top players in the global large model landscape [8][9] - The company's full-modal technology has led to the development of various products, including Talkie and Hailuo AI, which have gained substantial traction in the market [19][20] Future Outlook - MiniMax's successful IPO will serve as a valuation benchmark for the industry, with its estimated valuation potentially reaching $30-40 billion, reflecting its C-end commercialization success and global prospects [30][31] - The company faces challenges, including user retention, geopolitical risks, and data compliance issues, which will be critical for its long-term performance post-IPO [31][32]