如果欧洲没收俄2100亿欧元，后果有多严重？

Group 1 - The core issue is the European Union's struggle to provide financial aid to Ukraine amidst internal divisions and external pressures, leading to a reliance on joint debt rather than utilizing frozen Russian assets [1][3][7] - Initially, the EU aimed to use €210 billion of frozen Russian assets to support Ukraine, but faced strong opposition from Russia, which labeled the plan as "robbery" and warned of severe consequences [3][5] - After lengthy negotiations, the EU ultimately decided to raise €900 million through joint debt, bypassing Hungary's opposition by excluding it from financial contributions [7][8] Group 2 - The EU's internal divisions are evident, with member states split into three factions: those advocating for strong action against Russia, like the Baltic states and Poland; the hesitant major powers like Germany; and those opposed, such as Hungary and Slovakia [10][12][15] - Hungary's reliance on Russian gas makes it resistant to sanctions, highlighting the conflict between national interests and collective EU action [15][17] - The EU's decision-making process, which requires unanimous consent, complicates collective action and exposes the weaknesses in its governance structure [17][19] Group 3 - The EU's perceived strength is undermined by its inability to act cohesively, as seen in its response to the U.S. Inflation Reduction Act, where member states prioritize their own industries over collective interests [19][21] - Internal divisions and a lack of consensus among EU countries hinder its ability to respond effectively to external pressures, revealing a fundamental issue of fragmented interests [25][27] - The EU's aspiration to become a significant independent global player is challenged by its current inability to unify and act decisively, raising questions about its future effectiveness [27]