Core Viewpoint - The current market is expected to remain volatile due to global geopolitical conflicts, the US-China technology rivalry, and uncertainties regarding overseas AI investments, leading to a cautious and neutral allocation strategy. However, there is a long-term optimistic outlook on domestic AI computing power, optical modules, 6G industry trends, domestic substitution, self-control, and military industry growth, which could catalyze market opportunities in various sectors [1]. Group 1: Space Infrastructure and Satellite Communication - The space infrastructure competition is accelerating industry development, with the US government emphasizing the importance of maintaining "space superiority" through increased R&D and private sector investment. This sector is seen as a critical area in the US-China rivalry, with the domestic satellite constellation launches and commercial space development expected to expand market size [2]. - The issuance of satellite internet licenses in China marks a significant step towards commercial operation, which is anticipated to drive the entire industry chain towards large-scale acceleration. The development of satellite internet is progressing rapidly, with regular satellite launches expected to enhance communication capacity and reduce latency [2]. Group 2: Hollow Core Fiber and AI Applications - The demand for hollow core fibers is expected to benefit from AI catalysis, as these fibers offer low latency, wide spectrum, low loss, and low nonlinearity, addressing the physical limitations of traditional fibers. The current phase is critical for the rapid iteration and evolution of hollow core fibers, which are still in the early stages of commercialization [3]. - The unique characteristics of hollow core fibers are projected to meet the growing demands of AI large model applications, highlighting their potential value in internal interconnections, metropolitan data center interconnections, and wide-area interconnections. Beneficiary companies include Yangtze Optical Fibre (601869), Hengtong Optic-Electric (600487), FiberHome Technologies (600498), and Zhongtian Technology (600522) [3]. Group 3: Investment Recommendations - Beneficiary stocks in satellite communication and satellite IoT include companies involved in chip and T/R component industries such as Chengchang Technology, Guobo Electronics, Zhenlei Technology, Shanghai Huanxun, and Xinke Mobile. The terminal antenna supply chain includes Chengchang Technology, Tongyu Communication, Guobo Electronics, and Zhaoshengwei (300782) [4]. - Key players in terminal chips and core networks include China Mobile (600941), China Unicom (600050), China Telecom (601728), Haige Communication (002465), Huali Chuantong (300045), and Zhenyou Technology. Testing instrument companies include Kunheng Shunwei and Chuangyuan Xinke [4].
华西证券:太空新基建竞赛推动产业加速 空心光纤产业迭代演进关键窗口期