房产长期价值：十年后，低楼层与高楼层，谁将更胜一筹？

Core Insights - The article discusses the changing preferences for housing floor levels, highlighting a shift towards lower floors due to various factors such as aging population, policy changes, and maintenance costs. Policy Trends - The Chinese government is promoting the installation of elevators in old residential communities, which enhances the appeal of low floors by addressing previous accessibility issues [3] - By 2030, there are plans to install elevators in 215,000 old communities, with a completion rate of 67% as of October 2025 [3] - Subsidies for elevator installation vary by city, significantly reducing costs for homeowners [3] Demographic Trends - The aging population in China is projected to reach 29.7% by the end of 2024 and exceed 40% by 2035, increasing demand for low-floor housing [4] - Low floors (1-5) are becoming essential for elderly individuals due to lower risks and easier access to medical care [4] - Data from 2025 indicates that low-floor second-hand homes have a quicker sales cycle and a premium price, reflecting market demand for their suitability for older residents [4] Maintenance Costs - High floors incur higher maintenance costs, which will become more pronounced over the next decade [6] - Energy costs for high floors are 20%-30% higher due to the need for secondary water pressure systems [6] - Low floors have lower energy and maintenance costs, making them more economical for long-term ownership [7] Living Experience - The advantages of high floors, such as better views and light, are diminishing due to improved urban planning standards [8] - Low floors offer a more vibrant living experience, with easier access to community amenities and social interactions [8] - Future housing preferences are expected to favor comfort and convenience, making low floors more desirable [8] Long-term Value Outlook - The future value of housing will depend on demand alignment and holding costs, with low floors likely to maintain stable value due to demographic trends and lower maintenance costs [9] - High floors may face declining demand and rising costs, making them less attractive for long-term investment [9] - Premium high-floor properties in prime locations may still retain value due to scarcity, but general market trends favor low floors [9]