黄金创历史新高，300亿规模黄金ETF（159934）涨1%

Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in gold prices, reaching a historical high of $4,385.7 per ounce, is attributed to a combination of factors including expectations of further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, geopolitical uncertainties, and a weakening dollar, which collectively enhance gold's long-term investment appeal [1]. Group 1: Gold Price Dynamics - Gold prices have recently hit a record high, with a year-to-date increase of 59.11% [1]. - The gold ETF (159934) has seen a net inflow of 180 million yuan over the past 10 trading days, reflecting strong investor interest [1]. - The current price movement is seen as a systemic change in macro pricing frameworks, driven by expectations of monetary easing and central bank gold purchases [1]. Group 2: Macroeconomic Indicators - The U.S. November CPI has decreased to approximately 2.7% year-on-year, while the employment rate has risen to 4.6%, indicating a continued decline in inflation [1]. - Market expectations for further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve have increased, contributing to a weaker dollar index [1]. - The combination of these macroeconomic indicators supports the notion that the Federal Reserve is likely to continue its easing cycle [1]. Group 3: Investment Sentiment - The demand for gold is bolstered by geopolitical risks and a trend of central banks increasing their gold reserves [1]. - The gold ETF (159934) closely tracks SGE gold 9999, with its latest scale growing by 35.56 billion yuan and a total net inflow of 12.754 billion yuan for the year [1].