西南证券:建议关注讯飞医疗科技 具备自研基座大模型
Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-12-22 06:29

Industry Overview - The Chinese medical artificial intelligence industry has significant growth potential, driven by policy support for rapid development [1] - The market size of China's medical AI is projected to grow from 2.7 billion RMB in 2019 to 8.8 billion RMB in 2023, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 33.8%. It is expected to reach 315.7 billion RMB by 2033, with a CAGR of 43.1% from 2023 to 2033 [1] Company Capabilities - The company has developed its own foundational large model, the "Xunfei Xinghuo Medical Large Model X1," which is the only medical deep reasoning model trained entirely on domestic computing power. In real-world testing, its general auxiliary diagnosis accuracy reached 94.0% [2] - As of July 2025, the X1 model's performance has been upgraded, achieving a general auxiliary diagnosis accuracy of 95.0%, with improvements in various metrics such as health consultation response rate at 91.5% [2] Product and Service Development - By the end of 2024, the company has provided products and services to over 70,000 grassroots medical institutions across more than 30 provinces and 670 districts, including over 40 of China's top 100 hospitals [3] - The company's revenue from grassroots medical services grew by 52.3% in the first half of 2025, while the revenue from regional management platform solutions surged by 178.1% [3] - The company's To C business, which includes imaging cloud platforms and post-diagnosis management, saw a revenue growth of 10% in the first half of 2025 [3] Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025 to 2027 are estimated at 850 million RMB, 1.01 billion RMB, and 1.21 billion RMB, corresponding to price-to-sales (PS) ratios of 10.7x, 9x, and 7.5x respectively [4]