Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-12-22 07:15Group 1 - Macquarie has adjusted Prada's net profit forecasts for 2025 to 2027 down by 1.5%, 1.3%, and 1.3% respectively, considering currency headwinds [1] - The target price for Prada has been reduced by 2% from HKD 60 to HKD 59, while maintaining an outperform rating based on a 20x P/E ratio for 2025 [1] - For the fourth quarter, retail sales are expected to grow by 7% year-on-year at constant exchange rates, while reported retail and group sales are projected to increase by 0.2% and 0.9% respectively [1] Group 2 - The group is expected to show resilience in the fourth quarter amid macro uncertainty and market share gains, with a projected 1% year-on-year increase in retail sales for the Prada brand [2] - Miu Miu is anticipated to achieve a robust 20% year-on-year growth in retail sales for the fourth quarter, with plans to expand retail space by 10% to 15% next year, which may drive further growth [2] - Macquarie believes the forecasted EBIT impact of EUR 50 million to 100 million from Versace over the next two years is conservative and has potential for upside [2]