百利好晚盘分析：疯狂星期一 金银创新高

Gold Market - The recent meetings between U.S. and Ukrainian representatives have led to the refinement of a 20-point peace plan and a post-war economic development plan for Ukraine, although no substantial progress in peace negotiations was reported [2] - Market expectations for the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates in 2026 have supported gold prices, alongside ongoing geopolitical risks and short-term capital inflows ahead of the holiday season, resulting in gold and silver prices reaching historical highs [2] - Technical analysis indicates that gold has broken through the October 2025 high and maintains an upward trend, with support at $4,385 and resistance at $4,435 [2] Oil Market - The U.S. military has intensified its blockade against Venezuela, with President Trump aiming to cripple the Maduro government's oil revenue by tracking and seizing oil tankers, including a recent seizure of a supertanker [3] - The ongoing conflict in Ukraine and escalating tensions in Venezuela may significantly reduce the country's oil exports, contributing to a slight increase in oil prices [3] - Technical analysis shows a small bearish candle with a long lower shadow on the weekly chart, while the daily chart indicates consolidation around the low of $55, with support at $56.50 and resistance at $58.10 [3] U.S. Dollar Index - The market remains optimistic, betting on two interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve next year, with January 2026 being a critical month for the dollar and potentially for precious metals and U.S. equities [4] - Technical analysis reveals a small bullish candle with a long lower shadow on the weekly chart, with support at 97.80 and resistance at 98.80 [4] Copper Market - The weekly chart shows a bullish trend, with prices breaking out of the consolidation range and reaching a high of $5.48, indicating a short-term upward trend [7] - Today's focus is on whether the market can achieve new highs, with resistance at $5.50 and support at $5.40 [7]