成品油价今晚下调，加满一箱油少花6.5元

Core Viewpoint - The domestic refined oil prices in China have experienced a "three consecutive declines," with gasoline prices reduced by 170 yuan per ton and diesel prices by 165 yuan per ton, effective from December 24 [1][2]. Group 1: Price Adjustments - The price adjustments translate to a decrease of 6.5 yuan per liter for 92-octane gasoline and 7 yuan for both 95-octane gasoline and 0-octane diesel [1][2]. - The cumulative adjustments in 2025 included 25 pricing windows, with 7 increases, 12 decreases, and 6 stasis periods, resulting in a total reduction of 915 yuan per ton for gasoline and 880 yuan per ton for diesel [2]. Group 2: International Oil Market Dynamics - The international crude oil prices have shown a downward trend, influenced by increased supply from the U.S. and the resumption of production at Iraq's West Qurna 2 oil field, which produces approximately 460,000 barrels per day [3]. - Geopolitical factors, such as Ukraine's proposal to abandon NATO membership and the potential for a U.S.-Ukraine security agreement, have contributed to a decrease in risk premiums affecting oil prices [3]. Group 3: Future Price Predictions - Analysts have differing views on the next pricing adjustment, with some suggesting a higher probability of price increases due to geopolitical instability and seasonal demand during the Christmas period [4][5]. - Others believe that the current low oil prices may limit the potential for significant increases, with expectations of a price adjustment of around 40 yuan per ton [5]. Group 4: Domestic Market Conditions - As the New Year holiday approaches, there is an increase in downstream stocking demand, which may support price and transaction activity [6]. - The recent drop in diesel prices and relatively low social inventory levels have prompted some market participants to consider replenishing stock, which could improve overall market conditions [6].