促消费向稳向好需政策加力优化

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese government is prioritizing the expansion of domestic demand and strengthening the domestic circulation to stabilize economic growth, with consumer spending playing a crucial role in this strategy [1]. Group 1: Economic Growth and Consumer Contribution - In the first three quarters of 2025, China's GDP grew by 5.2% year-on-year, with final consumption expenditure contributing 53.5% to economic growth, an increase of 9 percentage points compared to the previous year [1]. - The Central Economic Work Conference emphasized the importance of expanding domestic demand and optimizing supply as key tasks for economic work in the coming year [1]. Group 2: Consumer Demand and Retail Performance - From January to November 2025, the total retail sales of consumer goods increased by 4.0% year-on-year, surpassing the 3.5% growth rate of 2024 [2]. - The service retail sector saw a year-on-year growth of 5.4%, indicating a stable growth trend [2]. - The "old-for-new" policy for consumer goods has been expanded, leading to over 2.5 trillion yuan in sales and benefiting more than 360 million people [2]. Group 3: New Consumption Trends - New types of service consumption, such as travel, culture, entertainment, and health, have become popular, with significant increases in domestic travel during holidays [3]. - The online retail of physical goods grew by 5.7% year-on-year, accounting for 25.9% of total retail sales, indicating a shift towards e-commerce [3]. - The retail sales of new energy passenger vehicles increased by 33.3%, with a penetration rate of 50.2% in the first half of 2025 [3]. Group 4: Supply-Side Innovations and CPI Trends - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.7% year-on-year in November 2025, reflecting improvements in product and service quality due to innovation [4]. - The number of new consumer goods registered in 2024 exceeded 21.63 million, marking a significant increase in supply-side innovation [4]. Group 5: Challenges in Consumer Market - Despite the potential and resilience of the consumer market, there are structural contradictions, such as consumer spending growth lagging behind income growth [6]. - The growth rate of service consumption spending has slowed, which may hinder the upgrading of consumption structure [7]. - The consumer market is increasingly segmented, with distinct consumption patterns emerging among different income groups [7]. Group 6: Policy Recommendations for Consumption Growth - To boost consumption, policies should focus on enhancing employment, increasing income, and stabilizing expectations [9]. - The "old-for-new" policy should be optimized to stimulate service consumption, particularly in sectors like tourism and elderly care [10]. - A supportive mechanism combining policy support, digital empowerment, and industrial fund support should be established to foster innovation in consumption [11].