金金乐道·把握市场脉搏∣美债中期方向明确，港股短期震荡偏弱，黄金长期逻辑清晰

Group 1 - The mid-term direction of US Treasury yields is relatively clear, with a downward trend expected, although supply pressure may persist in the bond market [1][27] - The Hong Kong stock market is expected to experience short-term volatility, influenced by overseas liquidity and seasonal factors, with limited support from southbound capital [1][22] - Gold prices have absorbed much negative sentiment after a month of consolidation, maintaining an optimistic outlook due to clear long-term fundamentals [1][33] Group 2 - The US stock market showed mixed performance, with fluctuations driven by AI narratives and economic data, leading to increased expectations for interest rate cuts in 2026 [2][4] - The Indian stock market is in a state of low trading volume and lacks clear direction, with investors awaiting upcoming Q3 earnings and policy announcements [8][10] - Japanese stocks are under pressure due to conflicting macro policies, with the Bank of Japan's tightening measures impacting market sentiment [12][14] Group 3 - The domestic bond market is experiencing fluctuations due to weak economic data and expectations of interest rate cuts, with a focus on the impact of upcoming policies [29][30] - Oil prices are experiencing wide fluctuations due to geopolitical tensions and supply chain disruptions, with demand concerns remaining a significant factor [36][37]