黄金飙破4400美元！专家重磅发声：突破5000美元并非没有可能

Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in gold prices, reaching a historic high of $4,400 per ounce, raises questions about whether this is a short-term spike or the beginning of a long-term bull market, with speculation about potential prices exceeding $5,000 in the future [1][3]. Group 1: Factors Driving Gold Prices - The Federal Reserve's policy shift is seen as a key driver, with expectations of interest rate cuts by 2025 due to falling inflation and a cooling job market, enhancing the appeal of non-yielding assets like gold [3]. - Central banks are increasing their gold purchases as part of a strategy to diversify foreign exchange reserves and reduce reliance on the US dollar, creating a stable and rigid demand for gold [3]. - Long-term geopolitical and financial risks, including tensions in the Middle East and high debt levels in Europe and the US, are reinforcing gold's status as a safe-haven asset [3]. Group 2: Market Sentiment and Predictions - Despite the historical price peak, caution is advised as gold prices are highly sensitive to monetary policy expectations and risk sentiment, with potential for significant volatility if the Fed delays rate cuts or if the dollar strengthens unexpectedly [5]. - Institutions like ANZ have predicted that gold prices could reach $5,000 per ounce by 2026, contingent on three key variables: the initiation of a global easing cycle, a long-term depreciation of the dollar, and the normalization of geopolitical and financial uncertainties [5].