Core Viewpoint - The stock price of Victory Energy Co., Ltd. has significantly deviated from its fundamentals, with a warning of potential rapid decline in the future due to abnormal trading fluctuations [1][4]. Group 1: Stock Performance and Valuation - As of December 22, the company's stock price reached a new high of 28.75 yuan per share, marking a total increase of seven consecutive trading days, with a total market capitalization of approximately 8.114 billion yuan [4]. - The static price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio was reported at -436.78 times based on the closing price of 26.14 yuan on December 19, while the industry average P/E ratio for gas production and supply was only 18.01 times, indicating a significant valuation disparity [4]. - The stock price surge is attributed to the planned change in control of the company, which has led to a cumulative price deviation exceeding 20% over two trading days [4]. Group 2: Financial Performance - Financial data indicates that the company has reported negative net profits for 2023 and 2024, with a projected revenue of 5.348 billion yuan in 2024 but a net loss of 16.8911 million yuan attributed to shareholders [5]. - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a net profit of 44.394 million yuan, showing signs of recovery [5]. Group 3: Control Change and Acquisition - The controlling shareholder and actual controller signed a share transfer agreement to transfer 29.99% of the company's total shares to Qiteng Robotics, which plans to acquire an additional 15% through a partial tender offer [6]. - The share transfer price was set at 13.28 yuan per share, which is lower than the pre-suspension closing price, and some existing shareholders have expressed interest in the tender offer [6]. - Qiteng Robotics is a high-tech enterprise specializing in the design, research, production, and sales of special robots, with potential synergies in the LNG industry due to safety production needs [7][10]. Group 4: Business Commitments and Future Outlook - The original controlling shareholder has committed to maintaining positive net profits for the company's existing business over the next three years, or else provide cash compensation [10]. - Qiteng Robotics has stated that there are no significant plans for major asset restructuring or reverse mergers within the next 12 months, suggesting stability in the company's main business structure in the short term [11]. - The control change transaction is subject to approval from the State Administration for Market Regulation and compliance confirmation from the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, with uncertainties regarding the outcome of shareholder requests for voluntary share lock-up waivers [11].
鲁股观察｜易主预期催化七连板，胜通能源股价严重偏离基本面