Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-12-23 02:28Core Viewpoint - China Duty Free Group (601888) experienced a significant stock price fluctuation, surging 15% before a decline of over 5% in early trading, currently priced at 77.6 HKD with a trading volume of 599 million HKD [1] Group 1: Market Performance - On December 18, the Hainan Free Trade Port officially commenced full island closure operations, resulting in duty-free shopping amounts reaching 161 million CNY, with 24,800 shoppers and 118,000 items sold, representing year-on-year increases of 61%, 53.1%, and 25.5% respectively [1] - From December 18 to 20, Sanya's total duty-free sales exceeded 100 million CNY for three consecutive days, with year-on-year growth rates of 45.8% and 47% on December 19 and 20 respectively [1] Group 2: Future Outlook - Guotai Junan Securities released a report indicating that the official launch of the Hainan Free Trade Port's full island closure, combined with the upcoming New Year and Spring Festival holiday boosts, will allow the company to fully benefit from policy incentives and festive consumption [1] - The report also noted that the policy benefits from the Hainan Free Trade Port's closure will gradually manifest, with limited impact expected in 2025 and the main effects anticipated to be seen in 2026 [1]