全球金融要震动？俄资产争议升级，欧盟四国先踩下急刹车！

Core Viewpoint - The EU's plan to use frozen Russian assets to fund Ukraine is facing collective opposition from several member states, raising uncertainties in the aid process for Ukraine [1][2][4] Group 1: Opposition from Member States - Italy, Belgium, Bulgaria, and Malta have formally warned the EU Commission against using frozen Russian assets for Ukraine, urging the search for legal and compliant alternatives [1][2] - Belgium's government expressed concerns that seizing foreign assets could undermine international trust in the EU's financial system and potentially lead to global capital flight [2] - Italy emphasized the need for the EU to stabilize its financial environment rather than engage in high-risk actions to aid Ukraine [2] Group 2: Alternative Proposals - The four opposing countries suggested that the EU should explore predictable and lower-risk alternatives, such as EU loans or transitional financing mechanisms, to meet Ukraine's urgent needs [2][4] - Despite their opposition to using frozen assets, these countries supported the indefinite freezing of Russian assets in a recent vote, emphasizing that future decisions on asset usage should involve member state leadership [2] Group 3: Broader EU Discontent - The opposition from these four countries reflects a broader division within the EU, with Hungary's Prime Minister labeling the vote as illegal and accusing the EU Commission of systematically violating European law [4] - Slovakia's Prime Minister criticized the EU's military spending for Ukraine, arguing it prolongs the conflict [4] - As of November 2024, EU aid to Ukraine has exceeded 80 billion euros, with rising domestic anti-aid sentiments in some member states due to issues like energy price increases and the influx of over a million refugees [4] Group 4: Russian Response - Russia has reacted strongly, claiming that any seizure of its assets amounts to theft and threatening reciprocal measures [4][6] - The Central Bank of Russia has initiated legal action against Belgium's Euroclear, which holds a significant portion of Russian assets, indicating a prolonged judicial conflict [4] - Russia's spokesperson warned that the EU's actions could destroy trust in the international financial system, with potential retaliatory measures in energy and food sectors [4][6] Group 5: Future Implications - The EU Commission has not yet responded to the warnings from the four countries, but increasing member state divisions and Russia's strong counteractions suggest that the plan to aid Ukraine through frozen assets may not proceed as originally scheduled [6] - The situation surrounding the frozen Russian assets not only impacts Ukraine's economic stability but also poses significant implications for EU unity and the stability of the global financial order [6]