四闯港股上市,首日破发近50%,明基医院高估值神话为何崩塌?

Core Viewpoint - Ming Chi Hospital's debut on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange was disastrous, with its stock price plummeting nearly 50% on the first day, leading to a market capitalization loss of over half [2]. Company Overview - Ming Chi Hospital was established in 2003 through a joint investment by Taiwan's BenQ Group and Nanjing State-owned Assets Group [3]. - The hospital group operates two main facilities: Nanjing Ming Chi Hospital and Suzhou Ming Chi Hospital, which began operations in 2008 and 2013, respectively [4]. - In 2015, the state-owned shareholders exited, and the hospital became a wholly-owned subsidiary of Jiasida Technology [5]. Financial Performance - Revenue figures for 2022 to 2024 were reported as 2.336 billion, 2.688 billion, and 2.659 billion yuan, indicating a stagnation in growth with a 1.07% decline projected for 2024 [7]. - Profitability has sharply declined, with net profit dropping from 0.9 billion yuan in 2022 to 1.67 billion yuan in 2023, and then falling to 1.09 billion yuan in 2024, a staggering 34.73% year-on-year decrease [7]. - The gross profit margin also decreased from 18.9% in 2023 to 18.1% in 2024, highlighting a trend of declining revenue and profit [7]. IPO Journey - The IPO process faced multiple setbacks, with the initial application submitted in April 2024 failing to progress, leading to a reapplication in October 2024 and a final successful submission in April 2025 [8]. - The IPO utilized a "mechanism B" issuance model, with only 10% of shares available for public sale, which limited retail investor participation [8]. Market Reaction - On December 23, 2025, the stock price fell to 4.76 HKD, a 49% drop from the issue price, reflecting weak market confidence [9]. - The high price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 29.8 during the IPO was significantly above the average of 16.72 for similar companies, indicating a disconnect between valuation and intrinsic value [9]. Industry Context - Ming Chi Hospital's struggles are indicative of broader challenges facing China's private hospital sector, which has seen significant financial losses across many institutions [11]. - The introduction of the DRG payment system has severely impacted profitability, with average hospitalization costs dropping significantly, while operational costs continue to rise [11]. - The competitive landscape is dominated by public hospitals, which benefit from policy advantages, making it difficult for private hospitals like Ming Chi to differentiate themselves [11]. Compliance and Operational Challenges - The hospital has faced numerous compliance issues, including 231 medical disputes, with 54 resulting in patient deaths, raising concerns about operational quality [12]. - Daily operational challenges include high patient complaint rates regarding service efficiency and staff attitudes, indicating a gap between service quality and the standards expected of a "tertiary first-class" hospital [12]. Conclusion - The challenges faced by Ming Chi Hospital reflect a critical juncture for private healthcare institutions in China, necessitating a shift from merely presenting a compelling investment narrative to demonstrating actual profitability and sustainable growth [13].