GDHEC CO.,LTD(SH:600673) Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-12-23 07:24Core Viewpoint - Dongyangguang Pharmaceutical (600673) is a leading company in the influenza sector with a solid foundation and a rich pipeline of innovations, focusing on three main areas: anti-infection, chronic diseases, and oncology. The company maintains a leading position in the anti-infection field, particularly in influenza, hepatitis C, and hepatitis B, and has been given a "Buy" rating by Huafu Securities [1]. Group 1: Anti-Infection - The company holds a leading position in the influenza market, with Oseltamivir ranking first in domestic market share and possessing the largest production base globally, ensuring sufficient supply capacity [1]. - The hepatitis C pipeline includes the approval of pan-genotypic therapies, with NMPA approvals for Sofosbuvir and Velpatasvir expected in February and March 2025, respectively [1]. - For hepatitis B, the development of Mofezolac is progressing rapidly, being the fastest domestic candidate in clinical trials, with the only product in Phase III clinical trials. The siRNA therapy (HECN30227) targeting hepatitis B is expected to enter clinical stages in October 2025 [1]. Group 2: Chronic Diseases - Ifenprodil is positioned as a potential blockbuster in the idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis market, estimated at $4 billion globally. Phase I trials in China and the U.S. have shown promising results, with a 96% delay in decline for the 200mg group compared to baseline, significantly outperforming the placebo group [2]. - Insulin products are nearing FDA approval, with Glargine expected to receive BLA approval in the first half of 2026, contributing to revenue growth. Additionally, the company plans to submit a BLA application for Aspart insulin by the end of 2025, with approval anticipated by the end of 2026 [2]. Group 3: Oncology - The company expects to launch Clifosfamide for AML by 2027, having established a licensing agreement with 3SBio, indicating a strong collaboration [3]. - The oncology pipeline is diverse, including Lenvatinib in Phase III for esophageal cancer and HEC53856 in Phase II for chemotherapy-induced anemia. The company is also exploring new technologies such as ADC and TCE [3]. Group 4: Profit Forecast - The company is projected to achieve net profits attributable to shareholders of 250 million, 540 million, and 930 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively. The price-to-sales ratios are expected to be 4.5, 3.7, and 3.2, indicating a strong value proposition compared to peers [4].