未上市业绩已变脸，福恩股份毛利率逐级下行

Core Viewpoint - The company, Fuen Co., Ltd., is facing significant challenges ahead of its IPO, with expectations of declining profits and a decrease in gross margins, raising concerns about its competitive edge in the sustainable fabric market [1][5]. Group 1: Company Overview - Fuen Co., Ltd. specializes in eco-friendly fabrics, primarily recycled materials, and has established itself as a leading supplier for major brands like Uniqlo and H&M [1][2]. - The company plans to raise 1.25 billion yuan through its IPO, with 800 million yuan allocated for an integrated project on recycled eco-friendly fabrics and 450 million yuan for a high-end recycled materials research institute [2]. Group 2: Market Position and Competitive Advantage - Fuen Co., Ltd. has a unique competitive advantage due to its sustainable and eco-friendly philosophy, which is becoming a standard in the industry as more competitors gain certification [3]. - The company is the largest supplier of recycled blended fabrics for H&M and Uniqlo, indicating a strong market position [3]. Group 3: Financial Performance and Projections - The company forecasts a revenue of 1.71 billion yuan for 2025, a decrease of 5.8% year-on-year, with a projected net profit of 230 million yuan, down 16.6% [5]. - The gross margin for the first half of 2025 is expected to be 26.6%, a decline of over two percentage points compared to the previous year [5][7]. Group 4: Challenges and Risks - The gross margin for recycled fabrics has been declining, with the gross margin for recycled blended fabrics dropping from 29.6% in 2023 to 27% in the first half of 2025 [6][7]. - The company relies heavily on outsourcing, with over 30% of its production outsourced, raising concerns about potential technology leakage [3][4]. - Rising raw material costs, including a nearly 5% increase in yarn prices and a similar rise in fabric prices, are pressuring the company's margins [9][10]. Group 5: Inventory and Accounts Receivable - The company has seen a significant increase in inventory, with a 20% rise compared to 2022, leading to substantial impairment provisions [11]. - The accounts receivable turnover rate has decreased from approximately 8 times in 2022 to 6.5 times in 2024, indicating slower collection from customers [11].