SANHUA(SZ:002050) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-12-23 10:34Company and Industry Overview - The company is a leading global player in refrigeration control components and automotive thermal management systems, with products including electronic expansion valves, solenoid valves, and integrated components for thermal management in new energy vehicles. The business and production capacity are highly globalized, with overseas revenue expected to account for 44.7% in 2024 [2] - The global market for bionic robot electromechanical actuators is projected to grow from 0.01 billion in 2020 to 1.376 billion by 2024, with a CAGR of 95.7%. It is expected to reach approximately 62.8 billion by 2029, with a CAGR of 114.7% from 2024 to 2029 [2] - The global market for refrigeration and air conditioning control components is steadily growing, with an overall compound growth rate of about 7%. Valves and heat exchangers are the main contributors to this growth [2] - The global automotive thermal management system components market is expanding, primarily driven by new energy vehicle thermal management components, with a projected CAGR of 26.6% from 2024 to 2029 [2] Key Assumptions - Revenue from the automotive components business is expected to grow by 9.0%, 8.0%, and 7.5% year-on-year from 2025E to 2027E, driven by increased penetration of thermal management systems in new energy vehicles and platform customer growth [3] - Revenue from the air conditioning and refrigeration components business is anticipated to grow by 24.0%, 22.0%, and 20.0% year-on-year from 2025E to 2027E, supported by a recovery in global appliance demand [3] - The gross margin for the automotive components business is expected to remain stable, with projections of 27.8%, 27.7%, and 27.8% from 2025E to 2027E, driven by the increasing share of new energy-related products and product complexity [3] - The gross margin for the air conditioning and refrigeration components business is expected to be relatively stable, with projections of 27.9%, 28.2%, and 28.3% from 2025E to 2027E, benefiting from product structure upgrades and economies of scale [3] - The company is expected to have significant growth potential and profit elasticity in the automotive components business compared to traditional home appliance businesses, driven by the penetration of new energy vehicles and platform customer growth [3] - The company possesses technological and scale advantages in the high-reliability electromechanical actuator field, providing potential for expansion into the robotics sector, with long-term growth opportunities not yet fully priced in [3]