美国三季度GDP增速远超预期，经济学家泼冷水：只是昙花一现！

Economic Growth - The U.S. economy expanded at its fastest pace in two years in Q3, driven by resilient consumer and business spending as well as more stable trade policies, with an annualized GDP growth rate of 4.3%, surpassing expectations of 3.3% [1] - The actual personal consumption expenditure (PCE) for Q3 was recorded at 3.5%, exceeding the forecast of 2.7% and the previous value of 2.5% [1] - The core PCE price index for Q3 was reported at an annualized rate of 2.9%, in line with expectations and up from the previous value of 2.6% [1] Consumer Behavior - Consumer spending remains strong, with significant investment in data centers, although there is a paradox of economic growth without job creation [3] - The surge in automobile sales, driven by consumers purchasing before anticipated tariff increases, contributed to the economic growth in Q3, but this peak is expected to have passed [4] Future Economic Outlook - Economists predict a weak economic growth in Q4, potentially stagnating due to the impact of a government shutdown on spending and investment [3] - The overall GDP growth rate for the year is expected to be around 2%, considered robust but not strong [5] - Looking ahead to 2026, a moderate rebound in the economy is anticipated, supported by tax refunds for households and potential overturning of global tariffs by the Supreme Court [5]