Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in platinum and palladium prices is attributed to a combination of macroeconomic liquidity conditions, stable industrial demand, and increased market speculation, with significant price increases observed both domestically and internationally [2][3]. Price Trends - As of December 23, domestic platinum prices reached 555 CNY per gram, and palladium prices reached 466 CNY per gram, marking year-to-date increases of 144.50% and 86.77% respectively [2]. - Internationally, platinum and palladium prices in London rose to 2083 USD per ounce and 1773 USD per ounce, reflecting year-to-date increases of 126.17% and 92.51% respectively [2]. Futures Market Development - The Guangzhou Futures Exchange launched platinum and palladium futures and options contracts on November 27, 2023, marking a significant milestone in China's risk management system for these metals [2][3]. - The trading activity of platinum and palladium futures has steadily increased since their launch, with growing open interest and active participation from physical enterprises, indicating market recognition of their pricing and hedging functions [2][3]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The global platinum market is experiencing a structural shortage for the third consecutive year, exacerbated by supply chain disruptions and geopolitical factors, particularly affecting supply from Russia and South Africa [3]. - Forecasts indicate a 3% year-on-year reduction in platinum supply to 219 tons in 2025, primarily due to weak mining output, while palladium supply is expected to decrease by 2% to 293 tons [3]. Corporate Participation in Futures Market - Companies like Haotong Technology and Yueyang Xingchang are actively engaging in the futures market to hedge against price volatility, with Haotong being approved as a designated delivery warehouse for platinum and palladium futures [5]. - Yueyang Xingchang plans to utilize up to 10 million CNY in trading margin for hedging through futures contracts, highlighting the importance of platinum and palladium in their cost structure [5]. Risk Management and Delivery System - The Guangzhou Futures Exchange has established a comprehensive delivery system for platinum and palladium futures, with a list of registered brands and warehouses to facilitate effective risk management for the industry [7][10]. - The exchange is preparing for the commencement of delivery operations in May 2026, ensuring that the necessary training and operational simulations are conducted beforehand [9][10].
铂、钯市场呈现新格局,期货市场发挥“稳定器”作用
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao·2025-12-23 14:56