海南封关后,鲁比奥通报全球,中美联手时机已到?新加坡无计可施
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-12-23 16:11

Core Viewpoint - The official launch of Hainan's free trade port marks a significant shift in the Asia-Pacific trade landscape, directly impacting Singapore's long-standing role as a transshipment hub [1][10]. Group 1: Hainan's Free Trade Port Implementation - Hainan is being developed as a special "open experimental field" with a core rule of "one line open, one line controlled," allowing for easier entry of people, goods, and capital from abroad while regulating goods entering mainland China [3]. - The number of duty-free products has expanded from 1,900 to over 6,600, with the zero-tariff ratio increasing from 21% to 74% [3]. Group 2: Impact on Singapore's Trade - Previously, Southeast Asian goods had to be routed through Singapore to reach mainland China, generating significant revenue for Singapore through transit fees [4]. - Following Hainan's closure, Singapore's transshipment trade volume experienced an 11.3% decline, marking the largest drop in nearly a decade [4]. Group 3: Hainan's Competitive Advantages - Hainan aims not only to capture Singapore's transshipment business but also to attract production by offering tax exemptions for goods that undergo value-added processing of over 30% [5]. - Companies in various sectors, including grain and beef processing, are relocating to Hainan to benefit from reduced production costs and improved customs efficiency [7]. Group 4: Infrastructure and Market Access - Hainan's port, Yangpu, has opened 85 international shipping routes, allowing direct access to Southeast Asia, the Middle East, and South America, significantly reducing shipping times and costs [7]. - The direct shipping routes from Hainan to China and other regions have cut transit times by half and reduced costs by over 12% [7]. Group 5: Singapore's Response - Singapore has attempted to lower port fees and streamline customs processes in response to Hainan's rise, but it struggles to compete with Hainan's substantial market and tax incentives [8]. - Hainan's proximity to the vast Chinese market and its tax policies present a competitive edge that Singapore cannot match [8]. Group 6: Future Implications - Hainan's free trade port is reshaping the trade dynamics in the Asia-Pacific region, diminishing Singapore's previous advantages in transshipment trade [10]. - The economic benefits of Hainan's policies are expected to create more job opportunities and enhance economic vitality, further increasing pressure on Singapore [10].