克罗地亚四大银行首席经济学家预测2026年克GDP增长2.8%，通货膨胀率3.1%

Economic Growth Forecast - Croatia's economy is expected to grow by approximately 3.0% in 2025 and slightly slow to 2.8% in 2026, aligning closely with the government's official forecast of 2.7% [1] - The growth is primarily driven by public spending and investment, with investment growth projected to reach 4.8% in 2026 [1] Inflation and Wage Growth - Inflation is forecasted to be 3.7% in 2025 and remain at a high level of 3.1% in 2026, correlating with an expected wage growth of nearly 6% [2] Fiscal Deficit Concerns - The fiscal deficit is anticipated to reach 3% of GDP in 2026, approaching the warning threshold set by the EU's Maastricht Treaty [2] - The report indicates that Croatia is on the "danger edge" of fiscal compliance [2] Export Growth Projections - Due to optimistic economic expectations from Germany, Croatia's main trading partner and tourism market, the total exports of goods and services are expected to accelerate by 2.5% in 2026 and grow by 3% in 2027 [2]