欧盟不敢动手，倘若乌克兰战败，整个欧洲都要解构重建！

Core Viewpoint - The ongoing Russia-Ukraine war poses a significant strategic threat to the European Union, potentially leading to its disintegration if Europe does not take decisive action [1][19]. Group 1: Strategic Implications - Ukraine is viewed as a critical test of the European system's credibility, with its failure likely resulting in the collapse of the EU's collective will [3][19]. - The war is fundamentally different from previous conflicts in the Middle East, as Ukraine represents a symbolic boundary for the EU, and its loss could lead to a fragmented Europe [3][19]. - The internal divisions within Europe regarding military involvement in Ukraine are growing, with increasing public fatigue and opposition to the war [5][6]. Group 2: Global Dynamics - The situation is being closely monitored by global powers, particularly Russia and China, with the potential for a broader conflict if Europe engages militarily [8][10]. - The U.S. is also hesitant to escalate the conflict, fearing that a prolonged war could expose its military production weaknesses compared to China's capabilities [10][13]. Group 3: Political Consequences - European politicians face severe domestic repercussions if the war results in failure, including potential political upheaval and accountability for military expenditures and losses [15][19]. - The historical context of European unity is at risk, with the potential for a return to a fragmented state reminiscent of the 19th century if the EU fails to maintain cohesion [19][21]. Group 4: Future Choices - Europe is at a crossroads: either engage in the conflict to preserve the EU or capitulate, leading to internal collapse and loss of governmental stability [22][24]. - The war in Ukraine serves as a critical test for the EU's survival, with the only viable option being to fight for unity, even at the risk of failure [24].