Here’s How Lowe’s Shares Can Hit $300 in 2026

Core Viewpoint - Lowe's has shown operational consistency and resilience in the market, with a positive outlook for 2026 as analysts predict a potential price increase to $274, representing a 13.7% upside from the current price of $240.44 [2][5] Financial Performance - Lowe's has beaten earnings estimates in all four of its most recent quarters, with Q3 2025 reporting earnings of $3.06 per share against a consensus of $2.81, resulting in an 8.9% surprise [3] - The company has achieved eight consecutive quarterly earnings beats with an average surprise of 4.1%, and year-over-year revenue growth of 3.2% outpacing Home Depot's 2.8% [3][6] Valuation Metrics - At the current price of $240.44, Lowe's trades at a trailing P/E of 19.92x, while a price of $300 would imply a P/E of approximately 24.9x, which is considered reasonable given the company's growth trajectory [4] - Lowe's is trading at a 15% discount to Home Depot on a P/E basis and a 19% discount on forward earnings, suggesting potential for valuation re-rating [5][6] Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - There is a declining concern about a housing crisis, with the probability of a national housing emergency declaration dropping by 8.5% over the past month, which is favorable for home improvement retailers like Lowe's [6] - Insider confidence is indicated by Director Lawrence Simkins purchasing 1,000 shares at $231.06, reflecting positive sentiment from the board [6] - Broader market support is anticipated if the S&P 500 continues its bull run in 2026, which would benefit large-cap retailers such as Lowe's [7]