Core Insights - The Chinese biopharmaceutical industry is experiencing significant growth, with 69 innovative drugs approved for market in 2025, surpassing the previous year's total of 48, marking a historical high [1] - China's pharmaceutical industry is now the second largest globally, with approximately 30% of innovative drugs in development worldwide [1] - The industry is entering a new phase of high-quality development, driven by continuous policy support and increased investment from innovative pharmaceutical companies [1] Group 1: Market Trends - The BD (Business Development) boom in 2025 is unprecedented, indicating an increase in the global competitiveness and value of Chinese pharmaceutical assets [3] - China has become the largest source of licensing agreements globally, surpassing the U.S. for the first time, with 90% of the top 20 multinational pharmaceutical companies collaborating with Chinese innovative drug pipelines [3] - The forecast for the next five years suggests a decline in the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for BD transactions, but it will still maintain double-digit growth [3][4] Group 2: Challenges and Opportunities - Despite the growth, the proportion of first-in-class (FIC) drugs remains low, indicating a need for more original innovations [3] - The majority of BD transactions are still focused on early-stage licensing, with late-stage projects accounting for less than half, leading to potential loss of significant future revenues [3][4] - The Co-Co model, which involves joint development and shared revenue, is emerging but is not expected to become mainstream in the short term due to funding pressures on companies [6][7] Group 3: Investment Landscape - The Hong Kong stock market is currently the leading venue for IPOs of unprofitable biotech companies, with over 60% of shares held by international institutional investors [8][9] - The valuation of biotech companies in Hong Kong is expected to focus on BD capabilities, clinical progress, and global commercialization potential [10][11] - Companies planning to go public in 2026 should emphasize their BD capabilities, clinical advancements, and global market potential to attract investment [11][12] Group 4: Future Directions - The next growth areas for Chinese innovative drugs are expected to include next-generation ADCs, new immuno-oncology drugs, and small nucleic acid drugs, among others [12][13] - Investment trends in the domestic innovative drug sector will increasingly focus on high technical barriers and high commercialization potential, while follow-on innovation projects may face capital withdrawal [13][14]
21专访丨高特佳投资副总经理于建林：锚定下一代疗法 创新药行业走向价值深化
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao·2025-12-23 23:03