Ge Long Hui·2025-12-24 03:07Core Viewpoint - The report from Bank of America indicates a significant decline in the sales of the pharmaceutical industry in mainland China for October, with a year-on-year decrease of 3%, contrasting sharply with a 6.8% increase in September [1] Industry Summary - The hospital channel experienced a year-on-year decline of 3.3%, down from a previous growth of 7.1% [1] - The retail channel remained nearly flat year-on-year, showing a notable slowdown from a 2.4% increase in September [1] Company Performance - The performance of China's biopharmaceutical products in October showed a mixed trend, with core products anlotinib and glycyrrhizic acid seeing year-on-year sales growth of 6.5% and 4.4%, respectively [1] - Conversely, sales of budesonide and esomeprazole fell significantly, with year-on-year declines of 28.5% and 39.4%, respectively [1] Revenue Forecast Adjustments - Based on the sales performance, the company has revised its revenue forecasts for 2026 and 2027 downwards by 0.2% and 0.4%, respectively [1] - The target price has been adjusted from HKD 9.4 to HKD 8.3, while maintaining a "Buy" rating due to the substantial licensing potential of pipeline products [1] Specific Company Ratings - For CSPC Pharmaceutical, the report notes continued poor sales performance of several key drugs in October, leading to a maintained "Underperform" rating with a target price of HKD 7.2 [1]