Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) Stock Price Prediction for 2026: Where Will It Be in 1 Year (Dec 24)
NvidiaNvidia(US:NVDA) 247Wallst·2025-12-24 13:15

Core Viewpoint - Nvidia Corp. has shown significant stock performance improvement, with a 5.2% increase in the past week and a 30.2% rise over the last six months, driven by new chip shipments to China and a $1.5 billion investment in Israel [1][2]. Financial Performance - Nvidia's third-quarter revenue reached a record $57.01 billion, with $51.2 billion coming from the data center division, marking a 66% year-over-year increase [9]. - The company has projected fiscal third-quarter revenue of $65 billion, exceeding analysts' expectations [11]. - Nvidia's capital expenditures surged over 200% this year to more than $3 billion to meet demand [9]. Market Dynamics - The AI market is expected to grow at a 37% CAGR through 2030, supporting Nvidia's revenue forecast of $170 billion for fiscal 2026, a 30% increase from $130.5 billion in 2025 [8]. - Nvidia's automotive segment also saw a 32% year-over-year increase to $592 million, driven by partnerships with Toyota and Aurora Innovation [11]. Strategic Developments - Nvidia plans to supply over 260,000 advanced GPUs to South Korean firms, indicating strong international demand [7]. - The company is investing in U.S. AI infrastructure, supported by a $165 billion expansion from Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing [6]. Analyst Sentiment - Of 64 analysts covering Nvidia, 60 recommend buying shares, with a consensus one-year price target of $253.02, indicating over 38% upside potential from current prices [13]. - Citigroup, J.P. Morgan, and Morgan Stanley maintain their Buy-equivalent ratings, citing strong demand and revenue growth [14]. Risks and Challenges - Ongoing U.S.-China trade restrictions and tariffs pose risks to Nvidia's supply chain and profitability, with potential revenue impacts estimated at $9 billion due to export controls [4][10]. - Competition from Huawei's Ascend chips and other market pressures could affect margins, although Nvidia has raised prices on its GPUs to mitigate these effects [5].