【窩輪透視】恆指夾在兩條均線之間！低溢價窩輪成部署首選

Core Viewpoint - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) is currently experiencing a consolidation phase, with mixed signals from various sectors, indicating potential investment opportunities and risks in the market [1][3]. Market Overview - On the previous day (23rd), the HSI closed at 25,774.14 points, a slight decrease of 0.11%, with a total turnover of HKD 157.13 billion, reflecting a general market consolidation [1]. - The short-term support levels for the HSI are at 25,448 points and 25,116 points, while resistance levels are at 26,147 points and 26,432 points, with a 53% probability of an upward movement [1]. Technical Analysis - The HSI is currently oscillating between the 10-day moving average (MA10) of 25,614.57 points and the 30-day moving average (MA30) of 25,878.94 points, indicating significant pressure from the upper moving averages [1]. - Various technical indicators are showing neutral signals, with the RSI at 52, while the VR ratio indicates a "sell" signal and the MACD shows a "buy" signal, suggesting a stalemate between bulls and bears [1]. Sector Performance - Technology Stocks: Tencent (00700) closed at HKD 602, down 2.03%, with technical indicators showing a "buy" signal but facing short-term resistance. Alibaba (09988) rose 0.55% to HKD 147.20, while JD.com (09618) increased by 0.45% to HKD 112.80, with resistance at HKD 116.80 [1][2]. - Financial Stocks: HSBC Holdings (00005) rose 0.82% to HKD 122.30 but is in the overbought zone with an RSI of 78, indicating a "strong sell" signal. AIA Group (01299) remained flat at HKD 82.65, needing to break through HKD 83.50 to confirm an upward trend [2]. - Consumer Stocks: Meituan (03690) rose 0.39% to HKD 103.20 but shows a "strong sell" signal, while Xiaomi (01810) fell 1.51% to HKD 39.20, indicating an oversold state [2]. - Traditional Blue Chips: China Mobile (00941) fell 1.02% to HKD 82.85, with a weak "buy" signal, while CNOOC (00883) decreased by 1.15% to HKD 20.56, needing to hold above HKD 20.10 [2]. Investment Opportunities - Recent performance of HSI bull certificates shows significant elasticity, with Bank of China bull certificate (68350) rising 6% and (68194) rising 8% within two days, while the HSI only increased by 0.33% [3]. - Selected high-cost performance products include UBS call warrants (19853) and Bank of China call warrants (19861), both with a strike price of 27,135 points and high leverage, suitable for investors expecting a breakout [3][4]. Bearish Instruments - For bearish strategies, JPMorgan put warrants (20889) and Bank of China put warrants (20721) offer high leverage and low premiums, suitable for short-term traders expecting a decline in the HSI [4][5].