Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that the Chinese yuan (RMB) has appreciated against the US dollar, reaching its highest level since September 30, 2024, with a significant increase noted since August 27, 2025 [1][3] - The recent appreciation of the RMB is attributed to a weakening US dollar index, which has declined nearly 10%, alongside strong domestic economic performance attracting foreign investment [3] - The outlook for the RMB suggests a continued strong performance in the short term, with potential for moderate appreciation in 2026, although the ability to maintain a level above 7.0 against the dollar will depend on further internal and external factors [3] Group 2 - The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in January 2024 is reported at 84.5%, with a 15.5% chance of a 25 basis point cut [4] - By March 2024, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut rises to 42.2%, while the likelihood of maintaining rates remains at 51.8% [4]
人民币兑美元中间价报7.0392，上调79点 升值至2024年9月30日以来最高，升幅创2025年8月27日以来最大！
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-12-25 01:24