STARTRADER：澳元突破0.67创14个月新高，市场关注后续走向？

Core Viewpoint - The Australian dollar (AUD) has shown a strong performance against the US dollar (USD), with a year-to-date increase of over 7% and a quarterly rise of 1.4%, driven by differences in central bank policies and economic conditions [3]. Group 1: Currency Performance - As of the latest trading session, the AUD/USD exchange rate experienced a slight decline of 0.0447%, with a trading range of 0.6698 to 0.6710, and both the opening and closing rates at 0.6705 [1]. - On December 23, the AUD/USD pair broke through the 0.67 level, reaching a 14-month high since October 2024 [3]. Group 2: Central Bank Policies - The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has maintained its policy interest rate at 3.6%, with Governor Bullock indicating no need for further rate cuts and leaving open the possibility of future rate hikes, which has raised market expectations for a rate increase in the first meeting of the next year to over 30% [3]. - In contrast, the US Federal Reserve has completed three rate cuts this year, lowering the interest rate range to 3.5%-3.75%, which continues to influence the USD's performance [3]. Group 3: Economic Indicators - The RBA has noted that stronger-than-expected domestic demand could exacerbate inflationary pressures, leading to an upward bias in inflation risks, which supports the RBA's policy stance [3]. - The Australian economy's stable domestic demand, including private consumption and investment, provides a fundamental support for the AUD, countering some external pressures [3]. Group 4: Market Dynamics - The structural weakness of the USD has provided external support for the rise of the AUD, with the USD index declining over 9% year-to-date due to factors such as Fed rate cuts and economic data concerns [4]. - Technically, the AUD/USD is in an upward channel with solid bullish structure, focusing on support at 0.6620 and resistance at previous highs around 0.6707, with potential to reach the 0.6740 range [4].