国金证券:首次覆盖康诺亚-B(02162)予“买入”评级 目标价83.29港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-12-25 08:05

Core Viewpoint - The report from Guojin Securities highlights the promising pipeline of Connoa-B (02162), with its core product, Supqi Baidankang, already approved for market release. The company is advancing multiple Phase II clinical trials for CM512 (TSLP/IL-13 bispecific antibody) and expects to submit an NDA for CMG901 to the FDA by 2026, indicating a strong growth potential and robust pipeline [1]. Group 1: Product Pipeline and Market Potential - Supqi Baidankang is the first domestically produced IL-4R monoclonal antibody, which is expected to gain rapid market traction after being included in the national medical insurance directory by December 2025, with anticipated sales of 0.36 million, 1.69 million, 3.31 million, 9.05 million, and 16.27 million yuan from 2024 to 2027 [1][3]. - CM512 (TSLP/IL-13 bispecific antibody) is currently in Phase II clinical trials and is positioned as the second globally in development, targeting a broad respiratory market with significant potential, expected to be approved by 2029 [2]. - CMG901 (Claudin 18.2 ADC) has been licensed to AstraZeneca and is the fastest progressing globally, with expectations to complete Phase III clinical trials for second-line gastric cancer by 2026 and potentially launch in 2027, which could yield milestone revenues and royalties for the company [2]. Group 2: Financial Projections and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 661 million, 1.255 billion, and 2.064 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 54%, 90%, and 65% respectively, with a turnaround to profitability expected in 2027 [3]. - The estimated earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be -1.72, -0.99, and 0.67 yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, indicating a path towards profitability [3]. - Based on a DCF valuation method, the target price is set at 83.29 HKD, with an initial "buy" rating assigned [3].