专访邢自强：从投资于物到投资于人，持续撬动消费市场

Core Insights - The future of China's economy relies on achieving a dual focus on "starry skies and vast seas" innovation and "daily necessities" improvement in living standards, emphasizing the need for a balanced approach to technological advancement and social welfare [1][2][3] Group 1: Economic Strategy - The strategy involves leveraging China's existing advantages in industrial chains, engineer dividends, and a large-scale market to foster innovation in cutting-edge technologies like 6G, quantum technology, and biomanufacturing [2][5] - The "dual-wheel drive" approach necessitates simultaneous progress in technological innovation and enhancing living standards to solidify the economic foundation [2][3] Group 2: Capital Market Role - The capital market must support both innovation and living standards by enhancing residents' consumption capacity and promoting a sustainable innovation ecosystem [6] - A robust capital market can help alleviate the low-price cycle by providing a stable return on investment, thus encouraging consumer spending [6][8] Group 3: Market Confidence Recovery - Since September 2024, market confidence has been restored due to a threefold awakening in policy, enterprise resilience, and funding dynamics [7][8] - Policy reforms aimed at addressing the low-price cycle have signaled a commitment to development alongside security, fostering a healthier market environment [7] Group 4: Structural Reforms - Key reforms during the "14th Five-Year Plan" include enhancing the national unified market and substantial social security reforms to improve consumer spending and reduce preventive savings [9][11] - The goal is to increase the share of resident consumption in GDP from under 40% to around 45% by 2030, creating a $10 trillion consumption market [9][12] Group 5: Fiscal Transformation - The shift from "investment in material" to "investment in people" is crucial for addressing structural issues of high savings and low consumption [11][13] - Strategies include increasing the proportion of state-owned capital allocated to social security funds and adjusting fiscal spending towards social services [13][14] Group 6: Real Estate Market Stabilization - To stabilize the real estate market, strategies include inventory reduction through government purchases of unsold properties and supporting key real estate firms facing difficulties [15][16] - Implementing interest subsidies on mortgage loans can significantly ease the financial burden on homebuyers, thereby boosting consumer confidence [16]